Tuesday 08/18/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday 08/18/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB WRITE-UP

Tuesday, August 18

Hot Pitchers
-- Ohlendorf is 2-0, 2.95 in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez is 3-0, 1.64 in his last three starts.
-- Norris is 3-0, 3.50 in three big league starts. Florida is 9-3 in Nolasco's last 12 starts, but he gave up 10 runs in his 3.1 IP in last start vs Astros, six days ago.
-- Lincecum is 2-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
-- Lowe is 4-0, 2.87 in his last five starts.
-- Billingsley is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts, but has been hampered by leg injuries. Cardinals are 5-1 when Biggs starts (1-1, 4.02).

-- Mariners are 11-1 in last twelve FHernandez starts. Porcello is 1-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Burkett is 3-0, 1.61 in his last four starts.
-- Price is 4-0, 1.78 in his last four home starts.
-- Carmona has 2,65 RA in three starts since coming back from minors.
-- Pavano has a 2.45 RA in his last three starts. Rangers won eight of last ten Feldman starts.
-- Sabathia is 5-1, 3.24 in his last six starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Garland has 5.33 RA in his last four starts. Martinez allowed three runs in five IP in his first start for the Phillies.
-- Parra has 5.18 RA in his last five starts, but Milwaukee won his last four, scoring 37 runs.
-- Stammen is 0-1, 11.15 in his last four starts.
-- Bailey is 1-4, 10.80 in his last six starts.
-- Perez is 0-1, 5.61 in his last six starts.
-- Dempster has a 6.56 RA in his last six starts. Carrillo allowed eight runs in 2.1 IP in his first '09 start, at Milwaukee.

-- Romero has a 5.45 RA in his last six starts.
-- Orioles lost 12 of last 14 Berken starts.
-- Bell allowed four runs in 5.1 IP in his only '09 start, vs Tampa.
-- Garcia is 118-77 in 265 career starts; he was 0-3, 4.06 at AAA level. Meche is 1-4, 9.42 in his last six starts.
-- Mazzaro has a 10.36 RA in his last six starts.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won five of their last six games.
-- Nationals won their last eight home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last ten games.
-- Cardinals won nine of their last ten games.

-- Detroit is 10-4 in its last 14 home games.
-- Tampa Bay won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Angels won 13 of their last 17 road games. Indians are 9-4 in last 13 home series openers.
-- Texas is 12-3 in its last 15 home games.
-- White Sox won three of last four games.
-- Bronx Bombers are 23-8 since All-Star break, but lost last two. A's are 9-5 in their last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Diamondbacks lost their last four road games.
-- Mets lost 10 of their last 15 games.
-- Rockies lost four of their last five road games.
-- Giants are 7-12 in their last 19 road games. Reds lost 11 of last 13 at Great American Ballpark.
-- Pirates lost eight of their last nine home games. Brewers lost three of their last four road games.
-- Astros lost five of their last seven games.
-- Padres lost four of their last five games. Cubs lost five of their last six road games.
-- Dodgers are 8-14 in their last 22 games.

-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
-- Orioles lost 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Red Sox lost eight of their last nine road games. Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Royals are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Twins lost 12 of their last 16 games.

Totals
-- Four of last five Arizona road games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in Pirates' last twelve home games.
-- Five of last seven Colorado road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-2 in Cincinnati's last 13 home games.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Florida road games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in last 14 Los Angeles home games.

-- Five of last seven Detroit home games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Baltimore road games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in Angels' last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 10-1-1 in Minnesota's last dozen road games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in White Sox' last ten home games.
-- Eight of last eleven Bronx games stayed under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trend Report


7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

7:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CLEVELAND
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games at home

7:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
Boston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

7:08 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CINCINNATI
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. HOUSTON
Florida is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

8:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TEXAS
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:11 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
Chi White Sox are 16-7 SU in their last 23 games at home
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

10:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN DIEGO
Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
San Diego is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

10:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. OAKLAND
NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
NY Yankees are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games
Oakland is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing NY Yankees
Oakland is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

10:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home


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Tips and Trends
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tba


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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets
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Florida Marlins at Houston Astros (+102, 9)

Did you know Florida's games have exceeded the total eight straight times and 11 of the last 12?

And the Marlins are doing most of the heavy lifting. Until Sunday's 7-3 loss to Colorado, Florida had scored at least six runs in seven straight games, averaging 9.4 runs.

The pitching matchup at the ballpark once known as "Ten-Run Field" could help keep Florida's streak of overs alive.

Florida's Ricky Nolasco gave up 10 runs in 3 1-3 innings in his last start. Houston rookie Bud Norris has become increasingly more hittable with each outing.

Pick: Over


Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers (+117, 7.5)

If you want a low price on Felix Hernandez, usually you have to get him on the road. But the numbers say otherwise.

The right-hander is 8-1 with a 1.96 ERA away from home. The Mariners have not lost a road game with Hernandez on the hill since May 14 at Texas, when all Hernandez did was pitch seven scoreless innings in an eventual 3-2 setback.

In his last seven road starts, Hernandez is 6-0 with a 1.53 ERA. Included in that stretch is a win at Detropit on July 22 in which he allowed one earned run and six hits in seven innings.

Pick: Seattle


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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

Ubaldo Jimenez (Colorado Rockies)

The right-hander has been outstanding since the All-Star break, going 4-0 in six starts while eating up innings for manager Jim Tracy.

"I didn't start too well, but now I'm very confident," Jimenez told the team's web site. "I know that I can go out there and throw six, seven or eight innings every time I get the ball."

Working as a favorite each time, Jimenez has allowed just 26 hits in 42 2-3 innings, posting a 2.55 ERA with 39 strikeouts.

Although he continues to battle control issues, Jimenez did not walk a batter for just the second time this season Aug. 1 at Cincinnati.

David Price (Tampa Bay Rays)

The southpaw has been erratic this season but much more stable at home.

Price has won his last four starts at Tropicana Field, lasting at least six innings and allowing no more than two earned runs in each. He has not lost at home since June 23 vs. Philadelphia.

In that span, Price has an ERA of 1.78 and a WHIP (walks + hits per inning) of 1.07, winning three times as a favorite.

Derek Lowe (Atlanta Braves)

The veteran righty also is gobbling up innings, working at least six in his last seven starts, allowing no more than three earned runs and going 6-1 in that span.

In his last outing, Lowe pitched seven innings for the first time since June 9 vs. Pittsburgh.

This will be Lowe's third start against the New York Mets. He is 2-0 against them, allowing just eight hits in 12 2-3 innings.


Returning

Freddy Garcia (Chicago White Sox)

The veteran hurler will be trying to recapture some of his old magic. His old team sure hopes so.

Garcia was released from the Mets' minor league system in April and was signed by the White Sox to a minor league deal in June.

He was 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA at Triple-A Charlotte.

Garcia has won 118 career games, including 17 for the White Sox in 2006. But he was traded after that season and is just 2-6 since.


Slumping

Craig Stammen (Washington Nationals)

It's hard to believe the Nationals won eight straight games with Stammen taking his regular turn in the rotation. Then again, he did pitch only once during the streak.

The righty is fortunate to be just 0-1 with three no-decisions in his last four starts. During that stretch, he has gotten through five innings just once and compiled a 10.56 ERA.

In his last four starts, Stammen has a WHIP of 2.02. He has six strikeouts while allowing five homers.

Manny Parra (Milwaukee Brewers)

Parra has been living a charmed life lately. He has won his last four outings without making a quality start.

It's hard to say Parra is slumping based on his results. But a closer look shows that he has allowed a whopping 38 hits in 25 innings in that stretch. Throw in 10 walks and Parra has an ERA of 6.48 and a WHIP of 1.92. Does that sound like a pitcher on a four-game winning streak?

Receiving 37 runs of support never hurts, although the right-hander has gotten past the sixth inning just once.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Robbie Gainous

MLB | Aug 18
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Seattle Mariners
-135 at BODOG > 11h.
Seattle leaves the Pacific Northwest for Motown and a three-game set versus the host Detroit Tigers with the first game Tuesday night and the first pitch at 7:05PM Eastern Time. Both teams are 4-5 their last 9 games overall and the Mariners will send their ace Felix Hernandez to the bump for the opener. Hernandez has been nothing short of spectacular on the highway this season posting a record of 8-1 with an ERA of 1.06. Seattle has not lost a road game with Hernandez on the hill since May 14 in Texas. In that game Hernandez pitched seven scoreless innings as his team let him down losing 3 to 2. Over his last seven road starts he is 6-0 with an ERA of 1.53 which included a win in Motown back in July where he allowed one run on six hits over seven innings of work. The Mariners are ranked 6 in pitching this season with an ERA of 3.97. Opponents are hitting .247 with an OBP of .322 and OPS of .247 against them this season. In the box the Mariners are ranked 16 in batting average with a mark of .262 averaging 4.0 runs per game and OPS of .716 on the season. The Tigers will send Rick Porcello to the hill with his 5-3 record at home and an ERA of 4.92. The Tigers are ranked 11 in pitching with an ERA of 4.22 with opponents hitting for an average of .258 and have an OBP of .332. In the box the Tigers are ranked 21 with a batting average of .258 averaging 4.6 runs per game with an OPS of .746 this season. On the technical front we see that Seattle is 15-3 (+11.6) on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Hernandez is 11-2 (+9.3) in road games this season, 10-1 (+9.4) in road games in night games this season, 10-1 (+9.5) in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 (+7.1) in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season. With solid fundamental and technical support we will back the visitor here as the Mariners ride Hernandez to the winners circle. Lay the short price with the favorite as they grab game one of this three-game set and add to the solid road record of their starter.

Graded Selection: 2* Seattle Mariners 2 Detroit Tigers 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vernon Croy

MLB | Aug 18
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Boston Red Sox
-160 at BOOKM > 11h.
1* Take the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline, The Red Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound Tuesday night and the Red Sox are 13-3 in Josh Beckett's (14-4, 3.10 ERA) last 16 road starts against a team with a losing record. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 6 starts with an ERA of just 1.80 and the Red Sox are 8-1 in Beckett's last 9 starts with 5 days rest. The Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games when playing with a day off and they are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Ricky Romero (10-5, 3.70) struggled in his only two starts against the Red Sox with an ERA of 9.72 and I look for the Red Sox to hit him hard against Tuesday night. The Blue Jays are just 1-6 in their last 7 games after a day off and they are just 8-21 in their last 29 games when playing a team with a winning record. Take the Boston Red Sox as my MLB Bonus Play for Tuesday Night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

TUESDAY NYY -1.5 -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline


Monday winner on the Angels to make it an 18-8-1 comp play run the last 27 days.

Tuesday night, the Marlins and Astros have at it once again, this time at Minute Maid Park. Just last week, Florida took 3 of 4 from Houston, and all 4 of the games featured plenty of offense.

It will be Ricky Nolasco, and Bud Norris matching pitches for the second time in as many starts, and while Norris "outdueled" Nolasco for the win just 5 short days ago, neither hurler was particularly impressive, as Nolasco allowed a whopping 10 runs in his 3 innings of work, while Norris allowed 4 run in 5 innings, but qualified for the "W".

Florida is on a 9-2 run their last 11, and they are thinking October baseball these days in South Florida. The same cannot be said for the sinking 'Stros who just snapped a 3 game slide, and are only 3-11 their last 14 Tuesday night affairs.

Nolasco is certainly not the same hurler he was when he made his ML splash last season, but we have a feeling that Norris, and his 3-0 season mark is going to take the hit tonight against the streaking Marlins.

Play on Florida.

3♦ FLORIDA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Today’s Free Pick

GAME: Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Aug 18, 2009 7:05PM

PICK: Pittsburgh Pirates

REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Pittsburgh w/Ohlendorf vs Parra
Note: The Pirates and Brewers battle in Game Two of this three game series when Ross Ohlendorf meets Manny Parra in Pittsburgh this evening. Parra takes the mound knowing he is 5-10 in his last 15 road team starts, with an 8.58 ERA in his last 6 road efforts. In his last start, Parra lasted 5 2/3 innings while surrendering 13 hits and allowing 6 runs, yet still managed to pick up the win. With Ohlendorf 9-2 in his last 11 home team starts, look for the Pirates to get the best of the Brewers here tonight.

We recommend a 1-unit play on Pittsburgh with Ohlendorf versusu Parra.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lee Kostroski

GAME: Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers Aug 18, 2009 7:05PM

PICK: Seattle Mariners -135

REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON Seattle (Hernandez) minus on the money line vs. Detroit (Porcello), Tuesday at 7:05 PM EST

Detroit has been a strong home team but Seattle won two of three at Comerica earlier this season. Felix Hernandez is 2-0 against Detroit this season and 4-0 in his last four outings against the Tigers. Seattle is 18-6 behind Hernandez this season yet he is still not valued like one of the AL’s truly elite pitchers. Hernandez has actually pitched significantly better away from home featuring incredible numbers with a 1.96 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP en route to Seattle going 11-2 in his road starts.

While Detroit is in playoff position, the Mariners would not be far behind the Tigers if they were competing for the same spot. Seattle has been the better hitting team and the superior statistical pitching team this season. The Mariners are also 21-7 in the last 28 games as favorites. Over the last ten games both teams are 5-5 but Seattle has posted far better pitching numbers and superior offensive numbers against right-handed pitching.

Detroit’s bullpen is a continuing problem that has not gone away, featuring a 5.24 ERA in the last ten games. Rookie star pitcher Rick Porcello has had a fine season but he has clearly worn down with the serious workload faced for the first time. He will be well rested for this outing after he was ejected and suspended after just one inning in his last outing. Porcello’s ERA is over a run higher at home and Detroit is just 4-4 in his last eight starts, and in four of those starts he allowed at least five runs.

Best of Luck, Lee.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

Delivered the FREE winner Monday with the Rangers getting it done at home against the Twins. Today I'm backing the Indians as they host the Angels in Cleveland.

I know the Angels have been the hottest team in baseball the last few months, but in their history they haven't had much luck in Cleveland. I'm going with the Tribe in this one as the Angels are throwing a rookie in just his second career big-league start.

Trevor Bell made his debut on Wednesday when he allowed four runs on nine hits in 5.1 innings at home against the Rays and his offense did the majority of the work in the 10-5 win.

On the other side, the Indians have Fausto Carmona (2-7, 6.37) on the mound having not looked too bad lately. Since he came off the DL on July 31, Carmona has made three starts and given up a combined five runs in 17 innings. Wednesday he allowed two runs in six innings against the Rangers but it wasn't his fault for the loss as the offense got nothing in the 5-0 final.

For his career against the Angels, Carmona has made two starts and allowed two earned runs in 13 innings.

When this series is in Cleveland, the Indians are 6-2 in the last eight meetings. They are also on streaks of 7-2 in series openers, 4-1 after an off-day and 4-0 when Carmona starts a series.

I'm looking for the Cleveland offense to be able to plate some runs off the rookie while Carmona delivers a solid effort. Play the Indians.

3♦ CLEVELAND

 

[lastinline]

bob balfe

any feedback on Bob Balfe would be helpful.Thanks

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

(977) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
(978) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Take "Over"

Freddy Garcia will make his return start for the White Sox Tuesday night against Kansas City. Garcia, 33, is up from Triple-A Charlotte and suffered shoulder problems with the Phillies in 2007 that lingered into this spring. KC is on a 9-3-1 run over the total and Gil Meche has been a reason, with a 7.53 ERA his last three starts. Chicago is on a 5-3 run over the total. Look for plenty of offense, play the Royals/White Sox Over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS Consultants

Newsletter Plays

Milwaukee over Pittsburgh - Best Bet
The Brew Crew is fighting to stay in the Central race and need all the wins thy can get.. Good time to get a Pittsburgh team that has already given up on the season. Milwaukee 9-3

Under in the Boston/Toronto game - Preferred Play

 

[motor87]

axiumsports.com

August 18th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,097.59

Pick #3- England – Conference North Soccer
3)Bet 27.06 to win 25.05 on Redditch United/Stafford Rangers OVER 2.5 -108

Pick #4-MLB
4a)Bet 27.38 to win 26.85 on Atlanta/NY Mets OVER 8.5 -102

4b)Bet 56.83 to win 55.71 on Atlanta/NY Mets OVER 8.5 -102

Pick #5-MLB
5aa)Bet 27.73 to win 25.21 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110
5ab)Bet 57.50 to win 52.27 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110

5ba)Bet 27.45 to win 24.96 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110
5bb)Bet 119.34 to win 108.50 on Chicago Cubs -1.5 OVER San Diego -110

 

[Yanks]

Paul Leiner

Free Pick for Today

Tuesday August 18 2009

Game: Indians vs Angels

Prediction: 25* Indians -110

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(975) MINNESOTA TWINS
(976) TEXAS RANGERS
Take "(976) TEXAS RANGERS"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL

Diamondbacks at Phillies

Pedro Martinez will make his second start since joining the Philadelphia rotation, and the result will be the Diamondbacks and Phillies staying below the number.

Our Tuesday night MLB selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies staying under the total in the City of Brotherly Love.

Phillies righthander Pedro Martinez had his first start in over 10 months on August 12 against the Cubs and although Martinez surrendered three earned runs on seven hits in just five innings, the veteran three-time Cy Young award winner proclaimed the outing a success and says he's ready to come back tonight and pitch even better.

It's hard to believe that this is Martinez's 18th season in the major leagues but despite the miles on his arm, the Phillies obviously think he still has enough in the tank and they are willing to bump another veteran, Jamie Moyer, from their rotation and give Martinez a shot.

Compared to Martinez, D-Backs veteran Jon Garland is practically a rookie with only 10 years of major league service. But unlike Martinez, Garland is not a hard thrower and he historically has some of the lowest strikeout totals of any full-time starter. Despite the lack of overpowering stuff, Garland usually finds a way to throw quality innings and the righthander now has quality starts in eight of his last nine outings going back to the beginning of July.

These two teams played a three-game series back in July and all three of those games went under the total. The Under is 5-1 in the last six Phillies games. Take the Under.

Pick: Diamondbacks-Phillies Under 10½

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers
Prediction: Seattle Mariners

Seattle is 18-6 in the last 24 starts made by Felix Hernandez and they are 21-7 their last 28 games as favorites. The Mariners are 7-3 their last 10 games vs. righty starters and they are 5-0 with Felix Hernandez vs. the Tigers. Detroit is 29-65 their last 94 games as underdogs and they are 2-6 their last 8 games vs. winning teams. The Tigers are 7-15 on Tuesday and they are 1-4 with Rick Porcello on the mound as an underdog. PLAY ON SEATTLE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Vegas Steam Line

Free Winner for Tuesday:

Take FLORIDA (Nolasco) -110 over Houston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

Josh Beckett hasn’t had the best of luck against division rival Toronto as he has a 3-7 TSR in his career with an ERA of just under six. But he has pitched well of late allowing only two runs in his past three starts. His counterpart Ricky Romero has two career starts against the Red Sox, but hasn’t got out of the fifth inning in either start. The Red Sox are 11-2 when playing with a day of rest and 14-1 as a road favorite of $1.25 to $1.50. Go with the Sox.

Play on: Boston Red Sox